PI
Paysign, Inc. (PAYS)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record Q3 revenue of $21.60M (+41.6% YoY) and diluted EPS of $0.04; pharma patient affordability revenue rose 141.9% to $7.92M while plasma returned to YoY growth at +12.4% to $12.86M .
- Results beat Wall Street consensus on revenue and EPS; revenue beat by ~$1.7M and EPS beat by $0.02; EBITDA was below consensus as the company focuses on Adjusted EBITDA ($5.04M, +78.1% YoY) rather than GAAP EBITDA ; Q3 consensus: EPS $0.02*, revenue $19.92M*, EBITDA $4.60M*; actual: EPS $0.04, revenue $21.60M, EBITDA $3.77M* (Values retrieved from S&P Global).
- FY25 guidance raised: revenue $80.5–$81.5M (prior $76.5–$78.5M), net income $7.0–$8.0M (prior $6.0–$7.0M), Adjusted EBITDA $19.0–$20.0M (prior $18.0–$20.0M); GP margin ~60%, plasma ~57% and pharma ~41% of mix .
- Execution catalysts: rapid expansion in patient affordability programs (105 in Q3; 118 by end of Oct), new 30,000 sq ft support center quadrupling capacity, and a SaaS plasma platform (donor app/CRM/BECCS) pending FDA 510(k) clearance .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Pharma patient affordability remains the growth engine: revenue +141.9% YoY to $7.92M, programs up to 105, and claims processed +60% YoY; CFO highlighted margins’ structural expansion from mix shift .
- Plasma resumed YoY growth (+12.4%) to $12.86M despite industry oversupply; average donor compensation per donation rose and carried into Q4 per CEO commentary .
- Infrastructure scale-up: new 30,000 sq ft support center lifted support capacity 4x, underpinning program wins and margin leverage over time .
- Quote: “Adjusted EBITDA reached a new high of $5.0 million, up 78.1%, while net income improved… These results underscore… improving operational efficiencies” — Mark Newcomer .
What Went Wrong
- Gross margin compression to 56.3% (from 61.6% in Q2) due to immature new plasma centers and incremental support center costs; GAAP EBITDA below consensus despite strong Adjusted EBITDA .
- Average monthly plasma revenue per center declined to $7,122 (vs $7,991 YoY); center count fell sequentially to 595 on planned closures of underperforming centers .
- Seasonality: management flagged lower claims activity in Q4, implying sequential step-down in average quarterly revenue per program despite strong YoY growth; “Sequential numbers are absolutely meaningless” for pharma programs — CFO .
Financial Results
Quarterly Summary (actuals)
Segment Breakdown
KPIs
Q3 vs Consensus and Forward Look
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic message: “We’re redefining how financial support is delivered across healthcare… removing cost barriers to treatment and generating measurable savings…” — CEO .
- Margin leverage: “Our operating margin improved by 280 bps… net margin improved by 90 bps… Adjusted EBITDA margin improved by 480 bps… demonstrating the operating leverage inherent in our business model” — CFO .
- Platform evolution: “We are executing on our strategy to expand our role… evolving from a trusted payments provider to a technology partner… awaiting FDA 510(k) clearance for the BECCS” — CEO .
- Program scale and pipeline: “We ended the quarter with 105 active programs and expect to add 20–30 more by year-end… sales cycle ~90 days” — CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Retail vs specialty mix: Management indicated growing retail presence with higher claim volumes and different economics versus specialty; profitability varies by product and patient cohort, with DBR lifting specialty program economics .
- Margin trajectory and center maturity: Gross margins expected to improve as new plasma centers mature and support center scales; certain plasma fee benefits take 90+ days to kick in .
- Seasonality in pharma per-program: Sequential averages step down in Q4 due to claim resets; analysis should be on a YoY basis; “Sequential numbers are absolutely meaningless” — CFO .
- BECCS timing and opportunity: FDA approval likely pushed into early 2026 due to shutdown; licensing is center-based; U.S. market not “hundreds of clients” — CFO .
- Macro donor dynamics: No observed impact from immigration enforcement; no material change from government shutdown on donors; payments to donors trending up into Q4 and next 6–12 months .
Estimates Context
- Q3 beat: EPS $0.04 vs $0.02*; revenue $21.60M vs $19.92M*; EBITDA $3.77M vs $4.60M* (note company emphasizes Adjusted EBITDA at $5.04M) .
- Q4 outlook (consensus): EPS $0.02*, revenue $21.48M*, EBITDA $4.76M*; management guides Q4 similar to Q3 with flat plasma, more program launches, and seasonally lower claims .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Pharma patient affordability is the structural growth driver (program additions, claims momentum, DBR monetization) with continued mix-driven margin leverage; monitor Q4 seasonality and H1 reset dynamics .
- Plasma growth stabilized; center-level economics should improve as new centers mature and donor compensation trends up; normalization expected in 1H26 — a medium-term tailwind .
- FY25 guidance raised across revenue, net income, and Adjusted EBITDA; slight GP margin reset reflects near-term scaling costs and plasma mix; confirms confidence in growth trajectory .
- Near-term trading setup: Clear headline beat on revenue and EPS and a guidance raise; watch street focus on GAAP EBITDA vs management’s Adjusted EBITDA and margin composition .
- Medium-term thesis: Platform evolution to SaaS in plasma (BECCS) and scaled support center enhance moat; DBR remains a differentiated lever for pharma economics .
- Liquidity: Unrestricted cash $7.53M at quarter-end impacted by timing of pass-through pharma receivables/payables; CFO cited adjusted unrestricted cash of $16.9M and zero debt .
- Watchlist: FDA 510(k) timing for BECCS, pace of retail program wins, and Q4 per-program metrics versus YoY to validate momentum despite seasonality .